Tuesday, December 10, 2024

November global surface TempLS same as October, second warmest November in record.

The TempLS FEM anomaly (1961-90 base) was 1.157ºC in November, effectively same as 1.158ºC in October. The difference is small enough that it is about 50% likely to be reversed with late data.

November 2023 at 1.269ºC was the warmest November in the record; after 2024, next was 2015 at 0.927ºC. It looks as if 2024 will break the annual record (2023) by about 0.12ºC.

For about 13 years, I have posted a follow-up to these regular posts, in which I compare the monthly value and map with GISS. They general result is that they match very well, so I have decided to not keep doing that. I think the point is made. So this will be the only TempLS post for the month. All the data for comparison is available at the latest data page.

Here is the corresponding stacked graph, showing how much hotter recent months have been:


Here is the temperature map, using the FEM-based map of anomalies. Use the arrows to see different 2D projections.






As always, the 3D globe map gives better detail. There are more graphs and a station map in the ongoing report which is updated daily.

This post is part of a series that has now run since 2011. The TempLS mesh data is reported here, and the recent history of monthly readings is here. Unadjusted GHCN is normally used, but if you click the TempLS button there, it will show data with adjusted, and also with different integration methods. There is an interactive graph using 1981-2010 base period here which you can use to show different periods, or compare with other indices. There is a general guide to TempLS here.

The reporting cycle starts with the TempLS report, usually about the 8th of the month. Then when the GISS result comes out, usually about the 15th, I discuss it and compare with TempLS. The TempLS graph uses the FEM solution on a regular near equal area grid on the sphere ; the residuals are displayed more directly using a triangular grid in a WebGL plot here.

A list of earlier monthly reports of each series in date order is here:

  1. NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis report
  2. TempLS report
  3. GISS report and comparison with TempLS




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