Friday, May 14, 2021

GISS April global temperature down by 0.14°C from March.

The GISS V4 land/ocean temperature anomaly was 0.74°C in April 2021, down from 0.88°C in March. This is similar to the 0.165°C decrease (now 0.134) reported for TempLS. Jim Hansen's report is here.

As usual here, I will compare the GISS and earlier TempLS plots below the jump.

Here is GISS V4


And here is the TempLS V4 LOESS-based plot




This post is part of a series that has now run for seven years. The GISS data completes the month cycle, and is compared with the TempLS result and map. GISS lists its reports here, and I post the monthly averages here.

The TempLS mesh data is reported here, and the recent history of monthly readings is here. Unadjusted GHCN is normally used, but if you click the TempLS button there, it will show data with adjusted, and also with different integration methods. There is an interactive graph using 1981-2010 base period here which you can use to show different periods, or compare with other indices. There is a general guide to TempLS here.


The reporting cycle starts with a report of the daily reanalysis index on about the 4th of the month. The next post is this, the TempLS report, usually about the 8th. Then when the GISS result comes out, usually about the 15th, I discuss it and compare with TempLS. The TempLS graph uses a spherical harmonics to the TempLS mesh residuals; the residuals are displayed more directly using a triangular grid in a better resolved WebGL plot here.

A list of earlier monthly reports of each series in date order is here:

  1. NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis report
  2. TempLS report
  3. GISS report and comparison with TempLS



1 comment:

  1. I update my prediction for GISS temperature anomaly using data up to Apr21. I'm using the new version that uses MEI2 values.
    GISS.v4
    MAM21 0.81+-0.04
    JJA21 0.92+-0.09
    SON21 1.03+-0.12
    J-D21 0.91+-0.05
    DJF22 0.96+-0.22
    Now it gives no chance of breaking the 2020 record again in 2021.

    ReplyDelete