tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post5648110338754826435..comments2024-03-28T13:56:47.604+11:00Comments on moyhu: GISS up 0.05°C in JulyNick Stokeshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06377413236983002873noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-6487810631885667872016-08-19T13:36:15.783+10:002016-08-19T13:36:15.783+10:00The CSALT model trained to 2013, and with extended...The CSALT model trained to 2013, and with extended SOI to 2016 looks like this<br /><a href="http://imageshack.com/a/img922/9662/e2AFlb.png" rel="nofollow">http://imageshack.com/a/img922/9662/e2AFlb.png</a><br /><br />The general idea is that the monotonic trending of CO2 combined with the known cyclic factors are enough to project global temperature. So if we can understand the cyclic factors such as ENSO, the simple models will work very well.<br /><br /><br /><br /><br />@whuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18297101284358849575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-36763439322983770792016-08-17T05:36:19.076+10:002016-08-17T05:36:19.076+10:00On to August. Almost halfway, and it's above J...On to August. Almost halfway, and it's above July... and teasingly close to 1.0 ℃. The reluctant La Niña is still being coy. Is the 7-day forecast proving itself to be very accurate?JCHnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-54439306445116248562016-08-17T05:05:37.547+10:002016-08-17T05:05:37.547+10:00Looks like the 13th month average for v6 is pretty...Looks like the 13th month average for v6 is pretty close to a tie... http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_July_2016_v6.jpg<br /><br />-MMMAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-30573880640236607792016-08-17T04:17:22.941+10:002016-08-17T04:17:22.941+10:00UAH v6 beta enhances 1998 and dampens recent tempe...UAH v6 beta enhances 1998 and dampens recent temperatures relative to V5.6. <a href="http://www.drroyspencer.com/2016/07/record-warm-2016-what-a-difference-one-month-makes/" rel="nofollow">It is not so clear that 2016 will be a record in V6.x</a> though it is a clear winner in v5.6Layzejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11346550512734519728noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-61439880734902864622016-08-17T01:42:11.362+10:002016-08-17T01:42:11.362+10:002016 is certainly likely to be a record in GISS. L...2016 is certainly likely to be a record in GISS. Looking at the 12 month running mean, it has blown past any previous record. But even the satellite datasets look like 12 month running mean records, with RSS just exceeding its 1998 peak and UAH actually pretty far over (which I haven't seen any mention of elsewhere?) (I recognize that woodfortrees is using older satellite datasets, so I should check if the new satellites match)<br />http://woodfortrees.org/plot/rss/mean:12/plot/uah/mean:12/plot/gistemp/from:1979/mean:12<br /><br />-MMM<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com