tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post2880322941508506306..comments2024-03-28T13:56:47.604+11:00Comments on moyhu: Record low sea ice minimum in AntarcticaNick Stokeshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06377413236983002873noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-27080471595068225892017-03-03T09:24:08.251+11:002017-03-03T09:24:08.251+11:00And MEI is slowly but surely on the Niño road:
ht...And MEI is slowly but surely on the Niño road:<br /><br />https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/table.html<br />Pangolinahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00998811537471488693noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-53249288689558323052017-03-03T09:20:22.391+11:002017-03-03T09:20:22.391+11:00Yes Olof, and the extent statistics I processed in...Yes Olof, and the extent statistics I processed in january out of colorado.edu isn't better:<br /><br />http://fs5.directupload.net/images/170209/pd3y4ua8.jpg<br /><br />Skeptics proudly tell you "When Arctic is up, Antarctic is down and vice versa".<br /><br />Hmmmh.<br /><br /><br />Bindidonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-63092226981203741692017-03-02T12:39:43.958+11:002017-03-02T12:39:43.958+11:00Up 0.10C. Here (NCEP/NCAR) with one day to go, it ...Up 0.10C. Here (NCEP/NCAR) with one day to go, it is up 0.09C.Nick Stokeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06377413236983002873noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-53155594538927283902017-03-01T19:33:29.456+11:002017-03-01T19:33:29.456+11:00According to the Charctic interactive sea ice grap...According to the Charctic interactive sea ice graph, Antarctic sea ice has been record low since Feb 13, below the the previous record from 1997, and is still declining.<br />Over at Karsten Haustein's the antarctic 7 day forecast is slightly warmer than the 7 day hindcast (anomaly-wise).<br /><br />Also, the global value for Feb is in at KH, up 0.10 C from Jan. Olof Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18244733455655978307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-12090821221024965872017-03-01T16:00:49.729+11:002017-03-01T16:00:49.729+11:00And yet we have no consensus physical model for EN...And yet we have no consensus physical model for ENSO, so whatever some agency says is just a SWAG.<br /><br />Not that we aren't trying hard to figure this out. What happens if we take a plausible model and backcast it to as early as 1650, comparing to ENSO coral proxy data:<br /><a href="https://forum.azimuthproject.org/discussion/comment/15743/#Comment_15743" rel="nofollow">https://forum.azimuthproject.org/discussion/comment/15743/#Comment_15743</a><br /><br />@whuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18297101284358849575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-81945238755371908662017-03-01T09:02:59.237+11:002017-03-01T09:02:59.237+11:00Related - BOM's new outlook has the probabilit...Related - BOM's new outlook has the probability of a 2017 El Niño at 50%.JCHnoreply@blogger.com