tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post2187926078733236093..comments2024-03-28T13:56:47.604+11:00Comments on moyhu: January TempLS surface temperature down 0.07°CNick Stokeshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06377413236983002873noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-76701966581164663102016-02-13T21:49:01.672+11:002016-02-13T21:49:01.672+11:00GISS just reported Jan temperatures, 1.13 C, up 0....GISS just reported Jan temperatures, 1.13 C, up 0.02 C from Dec. <br />This small rise is similar to that suggested by the reanalyses; Moyhu NCEP/NCAR, Weatherbell NCEP/CFSR, and ERA-interim, driven by crazy anomalies in the Arctic, that compensates the Eurasian cold areas..Olof Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18244733455655978307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-52060377423492982952016-02-12T02:47:14.725+11:002016-02-12T02:47:14.725+11:00Oops, thanks. I'll correct.Oops, thanks. I'll correct.Nick Stokeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06377413236983002873noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-39853623751109980722016-02-11T22:57:10.864+11:002016-02-11T22:57:10.864+11:00TempLS mesh is from 0.97°C to 0.899°C an only 0.07...TempLS mesh is from 0.97°C to 0.899°C an only 0.07 drop, not 0.09 as in the headline.<br />I expected a similar drop in the GISS temperature anomaly for Jan from the correlation already after the December values were out. But for Feb my GISS forecast (using only data until Dec 15) is more then 1.2°C. We will see.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-73416319868321547852016-02-11T20:56:22.494+11:002016-02-11T20:56:22.494+11:00Nick, I think that GISS will treat the ice-covered...Nick, I think that GISS will treat the ice-covered Arctic Ocean and nearby land differently. It will likely be filled with +4 to 10 C anomaly extrapolated from the Arctic outpost stations. For instance, Eureka, the northernmost Canadian station is still missing (no red cross on the map) but the Jan anomaly is +5.4 C according to Ogimet.<br />West Antarctica was also warm according to the reanalyses. Giss may pick up some of that if/when the SCAR stations Byrd and Theresa eventually report..Olof Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18244733455655978307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-73017416965740602162016-02-11T15:46:12.834+11:002016-02-11T15:46:12.834+11:00Bryan,
Thanks. Yes, your daily version is fairly s...Bryan,<br />Thanks. Yes, your daily version is fairly similar to mine, though I think I have Feb a bit warmer so far. Are you able to download the data directly, or do you have to copy from image?<br /><br />I notice on your monthly CFSR that the version change in 2011 seems to show up as a downstep.<br />Nick Stokeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06377413236983002873noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7729093380675162051.post-73795987552646823432016-02-11T14:19:55.344+11:002016-02-11T14:19:55.344+11:00Looks like the recent series of high peaks in the ...Looks like the recent series of high peaks in the CFSR daily estimates that began in October are beginning to subside. The peak in early February is noticeably lower than the last several. I added a page showing the latest UM CCI daily data that I plan to update most days:<br />https://oz4caster.wordpress.com/cfsr/<br /><br />The graph pattern is fairly close to the one you maintain.Bryan - oz4casterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18027990322659101002noreply@blogger.com